Post-growth: A viable path to limiting global warming to 1.5°C

19 February 2024

Existing climate mitigation scenarios assume future rates of economic growth that are significantly higher than what has been experienced in the recent past. This article explores how assuming lower rates of growth, in line with the hypothesis of secular stagnation, changes the range of mitigation possibilities. They compare scenarios with moderate and strong policy ambition under both high-growth and low-growth assumptions. The results show that low growth makes it more feasible to decrease emissions in a way that is consistent with 1.5°C–2°C of warming.

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